Tag: Economic performance

  • Banking Performance and the European Currency

    Banking Performance and the European Currency

    Romanias economic growth has been solid and sustainable, but any side-slip could threaten its development in the coming years, said at a forum held in Bucharest the Governor of the National Bank of Romania, Mugur Isarescu. He warned that errors might occur in the economic policies, and the global economic crisis has shown that such errors are hard to correct. He also said that the transition to the European currency should be made at the right moment, after all the necessary economic reforms have been implemented. “When the crisis broke out, Romania was not compliant with any of the four Maastricht criteria, but all of them are now observed. The big challenge is to ensure the sustainability of these accomplishments. Therefore, economic policies are meant to maintain the balance that was so difficult to strike, to generate rapid economic growth, but one which should not affect that balance, and they must do that by focusing on structural reforms, the Governor said.



    The target set by Bucharest for joining the Eurozone is 2019, but Mugur Isarescu believes that Romania currently has a number of other key objectives it must pay attention to at present, among which developing infrastructure, solving the high rate of youth unemployment, improving the efficiency of key economic sectors, such as energy and transport, and ensuring a better absorption of European funds. All the participants in the economic forum held in Bucharest stressed the fact that the risks threatening the south-east European economies, the Romanian one included, are external in nature, and mainly deriving from the situation of Greece and the conflict in Ukraine.



    Statistical data, too, have confirmed that Romanias economic situation is good, as information made public by the National Statistics Institute shows that net investments in the national economy grew by 8.5% in the first quarter, as compared to the same period last year. Setting 2019 as the target for joining the Eurozone also has a symbolic significance, because in that period Romania will be holding the rotating presidency of the EU, said the Romanian Prime Minister Victor Ponta, who also mentioned the possibility of a referendum on the Eurozone accession.



    Attending the economic forum in Romanias capital, the IMF representative for Romania and Bulgaria, Guillermo Tolosa, said that the targets that the Romanian government has set until the end of 2015 are reachable, but that next year it will have to make even bigger efforts to fulfil all the objectives the government has undertaken.

  • Economic statistics

    Economic statistics

    The European Statistics Office on Wednesday made public new data on the industrial output in the EU and Eurozone. While in the Eurozone the industrial output figures have stayed largely constant, for the European Union, as a whole, a slight increase has been reported, of 0.7% in June 2014, as compared to last year.



    Hungary and Romania have seen the most substantial advance of the EU member states, with rates of 11.3% and 9.9% respectively. Next comes Slovakia, with a 7.5% increase in industry. The lowest rates were reported in Greece, Malta and Latvia, with falling rates of 6.9%, 3.8% and 2% respectively. In June 2014 compared to May, the industrial output dropped by 0.3% in the Eurozone and by 0.1% in the EU. Romania reported a 0.7% decline in its industrial output in June this year compared to the previous month, when it had seen a 2.7% increase.



    While the news about industrial performances is good, not the same is true as far as direct foreign investments are concerned. In Romania, they totaled nearly 1.2 billion Euros in the first half of this year, which means 10.3% less than in the corresponding period of last year. The figures have been made public by the National Bank of Romania. Financial experts are rather pessimistic as regards a possible recovery of direct foreign investments, and blame the investors’ lack of interest on the domestic political tensions, deepened by the upcoming presidential election, on Europe’s frail economy and on the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.



    On the other hand, analysts still have serious reserves regarding the likelihood of the Romanian economy to improve so much as to enable the Government to reduce social insurance contributions by 5%, as stipulated by a recent law. Everybody agrees that, while the measure is good, in principle, in that it reduces the tax burden on labour, its enforcement as of October 1st is rather ill-timed, because it may generate budget deficits that can only be offset through fresh taxes.

  • Economic statistics

    Economic statistics

    The European Statistics Office on Wednesday made public new data on the industrial output in the EU and Eurozone. While in the Eurozone the industrial output figures have stayed largely constant, for the European Union, as a whole, a slight increase has been reported, of 0.7% in June 2014, as compared to last year.



    Hungary and Romania have seen the most substantial advance of the EU member states, with rates of 11.3% and 9.9% respectively. Next comes Slovakia, with a 7.5% increase in industry. The lowest rates were reported in Greece, Malta and Latvia, with falling rates of 6.9%, 3.8% and 2% respectively. In June 2014 compared to May, the industrial output dropped by 0.3% in the Eurozone and by 0.1% in the EU. Romania reported a 0.7% decline in its industrial output in June this year compared to the previous month, when it had seen a 2.7% increase.



    While the news about industrial performances is good, not the same is true as far as direct foreign investments are concerned. In Romania, they totaled nearly 1.2 billion Euros in the first half of this year, which means 10.3% less than in the corresponding period of last year. The figures have been made public by the National Bank of Romania. Financial experts are rather pessimistic as regards a possible recovery of direct foreign investments, and blame the investors’ lack of interest on the domestic political tensions, deepened by the upcoming presidential election, on Europe’s frail economy and on the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.



    On the other hand, analysts still have serious reserves regarding the likelihood of the Romanian economy to improve so much as to enable the Government to reduce social insurance contributions by 5%, as stipulated by a recent law. Everybody agrees that, while the measure is good, in principle, in that it reduces the tax burden on labour, its enforcement as of October 1st is rather ill-timed, because it may generate budget deficits that can only be offset through fresh taxes.