Tag: monetary

  • August 6, 2022 UPDATE

    August 6, 2022 UPDATE

    INFLATION
    The National Bank of Romania Friday raised the monetary policy interest rate
    for the 6th time this year, in an effort to keep inflation in check.
    The key interest went up 0.75%, to 5,5% per year, and takes effect on Monday. The
    central bank also decided to raise the interest rates for loans and for
    deposits. Keeping a firm control on cash flows in the monetary market and
    maintaining the current levels of minimum compulsory reserves for banks’
    domestic and foreign currency liabilities are also decisions made on Friday by
    the National Bank. Experts expect a steady annual inflation rate in Q3 and a
    gradual decrease later on. In June the inflation rate reached 15.1%.


    DIASPORA
    The Romanians in the diaspora who plan to return and invest in a business that
    creates at least 2 new jobs may obtain funding of up to EUR 40,000 under the 3rd
    edition of the Start-Up Nation programme, the Romanian tourism ministry
    announced. Applicants whose start-ups create only one job may receive up to EUR
    20,000. To benefit from the EUR 4 million programme, applicants must submit
    proof of their residence abroad.


    BUDGET
    A state budget adjustment is scheduled for next week in Romania, according to
    PM Nicolae Ciucă. Among other things, expenses with supplies and services will
    be cut by 10% for each ministry. An analysis will also be conducted to ensure
    the coherence of the forthcoming budget adjustment and of the funding programmes
    for Romania.


    ECONOMY
    East-Europeans started to feel the effects of the war in Ukraine later than the
    major Western economies, due to 2-digit salary increases and generous
    subsidies. Now however, they have to reduce their expenses in order to make
    ends meet, reads a Reuters analysis, according to which the 2-digit inflation,
    the over 15% rise in foodstuff prices and the growing energy costs are affecting
    the spending power of people in Eastern Europe. In Poland, people are
    shortening their holidays, Czechs are saving by eating out less and looking for
    a second job, while in Hungary people are buying less food and a lot fewer
    durable goods. According to analysts, the risk of 2-digit inflation extending
    into 2023, as well as the new revised estimates regarding the Eurozone point to
    a risk of recession.


    NATURAL
    GAS An EU-wide 15% reduction of natural gas consumption will come into force
    early next week, the Czech presidency of the EU Council announced. The
    regulation was adopted officially, and the text will be published in the
    Official Journal on Monday and will take effect the next day. The president of
    the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, called on member states to
    prepare for the worst-case scenario of Russia suspending gas supplies. Member
    states must also secure 80% of their winter needs ahead of time.


    COVID-19 Over 6,400 new COVID-19 cases were confirmed on Saturday in
    Romania. More than 3,800 patients are hospitalised, nearly 260 of whom in ICUs,
    and 28 Covid-related deaths were reported.Since
    the start of the pandemic, nearly 66,200 people have died of COVID-19 in
    România.


    UNTOLD Cluj Napoca, north-western Romania, is hosting the most eagerly
    awaited music festival this summer, Untold. The event takes place on several
    stages, with over 200 Romanian and foreign artists, as well as the world’s best
    DJs, performing until Sunday night. This year’s theme of the festival is Temple
    of Luna, an artistic concept that highlights the mythological side of
    Transylvania, seen as a land of the night and magic. Scores of stands sell
    food, drinks, clothing and gadgets. The organisers expect over 400,000 people
    to attend this year’s edition.

  • January 10, 2021

    January 10, 2021


    COVID-19 Over 4,100 new COVID-19 cases and 16 related fatalities were reported on Monday out of around 30,700 tests. At least 400 patients are in intensive care. In 11 cities the COVID-19 infection rate is above 3 per thousand, with the capital city Bucharest and Ilfov County in the south now on the yellow list, alongside Cluj (north-west), with rates of over 2 per thousand. Meanwhile, the vaccination rate remains low. Only 2,700 people got the first dose in the last 24 hours, nearly 3 times below the average of the last few days. So far, approx. 42% of the population have received at least one vaccine dose. The spread of the Omicron variant triggered a number of protection measures. 160 outpatient evaluation centres will be operational as of this week, to reduce pressure on hospitals.



    INTEREST The Board of the National Bank of Romania may decide today to further raise the policy interest rate, currently standing at 1.75% per year. The increase is expected, given the rise of the inflation rate in Romania and abroad. The policy interest rate was last increased in November, but only by 0.25%, which is less than analysts had expected.



    DIPLOMACY Romanias foreign minister Bogdan Aurescu has talks today with his Pakistani counterpart Makhdoom Shah Mahmood Hussain Qureshi in Bucharest. The visit takes place in the context of recent positive developments in bilateral relations, including Islamabads support for the Romanian authorities efforts to evacuate Romanian and Allied citizens as well as 156 vulnerable Afghan nationals from Afghanistan in August and September 2021. The 2 officials are to discuss means to strengthen bilateral relations, to consolidate political dialogue and economic cooperation. A cooperation agreement between the Romanian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Association of Pakistani Chambers of Commerce and Industry, as well as a framework agreement on student exchanges between the Polytechnic University in Bucharest and the University of Islamabad are some of the documents signed during this visit.



    KAZAKHSTAN Monday is a day of national mourning for the victims of the recent violent protests in Kazakhstan, where the situation seems to have stabilised. However, president Kassym Tokayev carried on removing suspected opponents from the countrys security services, with 2 more top-level officials dismissed. They were the deputies of the former head of the National Security Committee, Karim Masimov, dismissed and arrested last week on charges of treason. Masimov was an ally of former president Nursultan Nazarbaev. The latter stepped down in 2019, but he preserved control on key posts until a few days ago. The crisis in Kazakhstan started early this month, after gas prices were raised. The originally peaceful protests quickly spiralled into violent clashes resulting in human casualties and many buildings damaged, especially in the countrys economic centre Almaty. Thousands were arrested. Tokaev requested and received the support of a military alliance headed by Russia, whose troops are currently protecting strategic sites in Kazakhstan.



    TALKS Talks are held in Geneva, Switzerland today by US and Russian officials over the situation in Ukraine. The parties have voiced reserves with respect to a prospective compromise. Russia said on Friday it would not yield to pressure, and warned that talks may be suspended, while Washington said hopes for success were rather low. The talks take place amid worries over Russias military build-up close to its border with Ukraine and fears that Moscow may once again attack the country, after having occupied and annexed Crimea in 2014. Ukraine is seeking NATO membership, but Moscow wants guarantees that NATO would not continue to expand eastwards. The meeting in Geneva will be followed this week by talks between Russian and NATO officials in Brussels, while an OSCE meeting due in Vienna is also scheduled to focus on the situation in Ukraine.



    HANDBALL Romanias national mens handball team qualified into the second round of the 2023 World Championship qualifiers, after defeating the Republic of Moldova 33-23, on Sunday night, at home in Cluj-Napoca, in the last match of the first preliminary round, Group 3. In the previous group matches, Romania defeated Israel 33-30, which in turn beat Moldova 42-31. Romania came out 1st with 6 points, followed by Israel (4), Moldova (2), and Cyprus, (0). Cyprus was unable to take part in the tournament because of a COVID-19 outbreak in its team, and all its games were forfeited with a score of 10-0 for the opposing team. The top 2 teams in each group moved into the second round of the qualifiers. Four times a world champion, Romania has so far taken part in 14 mens handball World Championships, but its last participation dates back to 2011. (tr. A.M. Popescu)

  • January 10, 2021

    January 10, 2021


    COVID-19 Over 4,100 new COVID-19 cases and 16 related fatalities were reported on Monday out of around 30,700 tests. At least 400 patients are in intensive care. In 11 cities the COVID-19 infection rate is above 3 per thousand, with the capital city Bucharest and Ilfov County in the south now on the yellow list, alongside Cluj (north-west), with rates of over 2 per thousand. Meanwhile, the vaccination rate remains low. Only 2,700 people got the first dose in the last 24 hours, nearly 3 times below the average of the last few days. So far, approx. 42% of the population have received at least one vaccine dose. The spread of the Omicron variant triggered a number of protection measures. 160 outpatient evaluation centres will be operational as of this week, to reduce pressure on hospitals.



    INTEREST The Board of the National Bank of Romania may decide today to further raise the policy interest rate, currently standing at 1.75% per year. The increase is expected, given the rise of the inflation rate in Romania and abroad. The policy interest rate was last increased in November, but only by 0.25%, which is less than analysts had expected.



    DIPLOMACY Romanias foreign minister Bogdan Aurescu has talks today with his Pakistani counterpart Makhdoom Shah Mahmood Hussain Qureshi in Bucharest. The visit takes place in the context of recent positive developments in bilateral relations, including Islamabads support for the Romanian authorities efforts to evacuate Romanian and Allied citizens as well as 156 vulnerable Afghan nationals from Afghanistan in August and September 2021. The 2 officials are to discuss means to strengthen bilateral relations, to consolidate political dialogue and economic cooperation. A cooperation agreement between the Romanian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Association of Pakistani Chambers of Commerce and Industry, as well as a framework agreement on student exchanges between the Polytechnic University in Bucharest and the University of Islamabad are some of the documents signed during this visit.



    KAZAKHSTAN Monday is a day of national mourning for the victims of the recent violent protests in Kazakhstan, where the situation seems to have stabilised. However, president Kassym Tokayev carried on removing suspected opponents from the countrys security services, with 2 more top-level officials dismissed. They were the deputies of the former head of the National Security Committee, Karim Masimov, dismissed and arrested last week on charges of treason. Masimov was an ally of former president Nursultan Nazarbaev. The latter stepped down in 2019, but he preserved control on key posts until a few days ago. The crisis in Kazakhstan started early this month, after gas prices were raised. The originally peaceful protests quickly spiralled into violent clashes resulting in human casualties and many buildings damaged, especially in the countrys economic centre Almaty. Thousands were arrested. Tokaev requested and received the support of a military alliance headed by Russia, whose troops are currently protecting strategic sites in Kazakhstan.



    TALKS Talks are held in Geneva, Switzerland today by US and Russian officials over the situation in Ukraine. The parties have voiced reserves with respect to a prospective compromise. Russia said on Friday it would not yield to pressure, and warned that talks may be suspended, while Washington said hopes for success were rather low. The talks take place amid worries over Russias military build-up close to its border with Ukraine and fears that Moscow may once again attack the country, after having occupied and annexed Crimea in 2014. Ukraine is seeking NATO membership, but Moscow wants guarantees that NATO would not continue to expand eastwards. The meeting in Geneva will be followed this week by talks between Russian and NATO officials in Brussels, while an OSCE meeting due in Vienna is also scheduled to focus on the situation in Ukraine.



    HANDBALL Romanias national mens handball team qualified into the second round of the 2023 World Championship qualifiers, after defeating the Republic of Moldova 33-23, on Sunday night, at home in Cluj-Napoca, in the last match of the first preliminary round, Group 3. In the previous group matches, Romania defeated Israel 33-30, which in turn beat Moldova 42-31. Romania came out 1st with 6 points, followed by Israel (4), Moldova (2), and Cyprus, (0). Cyprus was unable to take part in the tournament because of a COVID-19 outbreak in its team, and all its games were forfeited with a score of 10-0 for the opposing team. The top 2 teams in each group moved into the second round of the qualifiers. Four times a world champion, Romania has so far taken part in 14 mens handball World Championships, but its last participation dates back to 2011. (tr. A.M. Popescu)

  • Economic measures in times of crisis

    Economic measures in times of crisis

    As of Wednesday, in Romania employers may apply for governmental funds to pay their employees in idle time. The applications may be submitted online, to the county employment agencies. The same type of aid is available not only for companies with employees, but also to the self-employed. In order to benefit from these funds, employers must submit to county employment agencies an application, a sworn statement and a list of the employees on idle time.



    The Labour Minister, Violeta Alexandru, promised that all applications will be processed as quickly as possible. Idle time benefits are capped at around 800 euros per month, before tax and healthcare and pension contributions. According to the latest data, over 500,000 employees have already seen their employment contracts temporarily suspended over the coronavirus crisis. Tax analysts warn however that the idle time benefits, accounting for maximum 75% of the gross salary, will be subject to the same tax rates as the regular salaries.



    Meanwhile, the governor of the National Bank of Romania, Mugur Isărescu, says that the tensions created by the COVID-19 crisis in the monetary, financial and banking sector have already reached the peak and will subside. Isărescu explained in a news release that after successive days with substantial cash withdrawals, the situation is now stable.



    According to the central bank governor, there were isolated, temporary bottlenecks shortly after the state of emergency was announced. Between March 11 and 20, banks withdrew some 900 million euros in cash from the central bank, in order to cover the demand for cash from their clients. This was double the figure reported during the winter holidays in December 2019.



    Over the past few days, however, the National Bank says, withdrawals fell substantially, and at present banks are able to cover their ATM and payment needs from their own resources. The cash reserves of the National Bank also stayed within prudential limits and increased slightly in the last several days.



    According to the central bank, there are no problems in covering the demand for cash in local currency. The bank recommends nonetheless that individuals and companies try and use non-cash payment instruments as much as possible these days.



    After the National Bank announced its monetary policy decisions, interest rates were cut considerably, and the exchange rate for the national currency stabilized within a 1% range, with a slight upward trend reported lately, the central banks news release also reads.


    (translated by: Ana-Maria Popescu)