Radio România Internațional

Tag: World Economic Outlook

  • IWF macht Bericht über die Perspektiven der Weltwirtschaft bekannt

    IWF macht Bericht über die Perspektiven der Weltwirtschaft bekannt

    Der IWF hat in seinem jungsten Bericht über die Perspektiven der Weltwirtschaft die Prognosen für die Entwicklung der rumänischen Wirtschaft von 4,4 auf 5,1% korrigiert. Es sei die beste Entwicklung in Europa nach Malta. Die Prognose für die Inflationsrate wurde ebenfalls nach oben bis auf 5% verbessert, das bedeutet um 1% mehr als im Oktober 2017 geschätzt wurde.



    Laut Bericht werde sich der Anstiegrhythmus der Preise im nächsten Jahr verlangsamern. Der IWF erwartet ebenfalls eine Abschwächung des Anstiegs des BIP bis auf 3,5% und hat für 2018 die Einschätzung des Leistungsbilanzdefizits auf minus 3,7%, und der Arbeitslosigkeit auf 4,6% verändert.



    Die Studie Deloitte România macht darauf aufmerksam, dass die fiskalische Instabilität die Hauptdrohung des Geschäftsumfelds sei. Deshalb behaupten die Finanzdirektoren, dass sie sich mehr auf die Festigung der Unternehmen, als auf ihrer Erweiterung konzentrieren. Das Dokument analysiert unterschiedliche Aspekte wie wirtschaftliche Perspektive, Geschäftsumfeld, finanzielle Vorausschätzungen und Digitalisierung. Die meisten Finanzdirektoren meinen, trotz des Wirtschaftsanstiegs werden die Inflation und die Finanzierungskosten steigen. Fast 60% der Direktoren in Rumänien behaupten, die bedeutendste Drohung sei die Instabilität des fiskalischen Klimas, so dass die Risiken, die sie eingehen, wenige sein werden. Zeno Căprariu, Direktor Deloitte România, dazu:



    “Die Investoren sind hinsichtlich Rumänien zufrieden. Wenn sie unzufrieden wären, dann könnten sie das Land verlassen. Was aber die Zukunft anbelangt, sind sie zurückhaltend. Das kann später eventuell das Verlassen des Landes oder die Verminderung der Aktivität der Unternehmen bedeuten. Wir wünschen ein klares und einfaches fiskalisches Umfeld mit wenigeren Gebühren und Steuern.



    Europa wird in diesem Jahr einen Wirtschaftsanstieg von 2,7% verzeichnen, während, das emergente Europa, die Region zu der auch Rumänien gehört, einen Aufschwung des BIP von 4,3 % im Jahre 2018 verzeichnen wird, prognostiziert der IWF in World Economic Outlook.

  • IMF forecasts for Romania

    IMF forecasts for Romania

    According to the latest World Economic Outlook,
    the International Monetary Fund has revised its forecast concerning the growth
    of the Romanian economy up from 4.4% to 5.1%, which means Romania is expected
    to have the second-highest growth rate in Europe this year. The IMF has also
    revised up to nearly 5% its inflation rate forecast, one percentage point
    higher than the estimates of last October. The report also says that consumer
    prices are expected to grow at a slower pace next year, when the IMF expects a
    slackening in the GDP increase of up to 3.5%. The Fund has also revised its
    forecast on the current account deficit in Romania up by nearly one percentage
    point compared with previous estimates. This year and the next, the
    unemployment rate is estimated to stand at 4.6%.




    In another development, a Deloitte Romania
    survey warns that fiscal instability is the biggest threat to business. That is
    the reason why financial managers in Romania say they focus more on
    consolidating their companies rather than on expanding them. The survey looks
    at various aspects such economic prospects, the business environment, financial
    forecasts and digitalisation. Most financial managers foresee that, although
    economic growth will continue, the inflation rate and financing costs will also
    go up. Almost 60% of managers in Romania believe that
    fiscal instability is the main threat to business and so they are willing to
    take fewer chances. Zeno Caprariu, a manager with Deloitte Romania, explains:




    Investors are still content with Romania
    because if they hadn’t been, they would have left. However, as the survey
    shows, they have reservations about the future. This is an alarm signal because
    these reservations may later lead to their leaving the country, cutting down on
    their activity or relocating it. A clearer fiscal and more substantial
    environment with fewer taxes is desirable.




    Overall, Europe will this year see a 2.7%
    economic growth rate, while emerging Europe, which also includes Romania,
    will see a 4.3% increase in the GDP in 2018, as the IMF estimates in its World
    Economic Outlook.

  • IMF forecasts for Romania

    IMF forecasts for Romania

    According to the latest World Economic Outlook,
    the International Monetary Fund has revised its forecast concerning the growth
    of the Romanian economy up from 4.4% to 5.1%, which means Romania is expected
    to have the second-highest growth rate in Europe this year. The IMF has also
    revised up to nearly 5% its inflation rate forecast, one percentage point
    higher than the estimates of last October. The report also says that consumer
    prices are expected to grow at a slower pace next year, when the IMF expects a
    slackening in the GDP increase of up to 3.5%. The Fund has also revised its
    forecast on the current account deficit in Romania up by nearly one percentage
    point compared with previous estimates. This year and the next, the
    unemployment rate is estimated to stand at 4.6%.




    In another development, a Deloitte Romania
    survey warns that fiscal instability is the biggest threat to business. That is
    the reason why financial managers in Romania say they focus more on
    consolidating their companies rather than on expanding them. The survey looks
    at various aspects such economic prospects, the business environment, financial
    forecasts and digitalisation. Most financial managers foresee that, although
    economic growth will continue, the inflation rate and financing costs will also
    go up. Almost 60% of managers in Romania believe that
    fiscal instability is the main threat to business and so they are willing to
    take fewer chances. Zeno Caprariu, a manager with Deloitte Romania, explains:




    Investors are still content with Romania
    because if they hadn’t been, they would have left. However, as the survey
    shows, they have reservations about the future. This is an alarm signal because
    these reservations may later lead to their leaving the country, cutting down on
    their activity or relocating it. A clearer fiscal and more substantial
    environment with fewer taxes is desirable.




    Overall, Europe will this year see a 2.7%
    economic growth rate, while emerging Europe, which also includes Romania,
    will see a 4.3% increase in the GDP in 2018, as the IMF estimates in its World
    Economic Outlook.

  • April 17, 2018 UPDATE

    April 17, 2018 UPDATE

    REVOLUTION CASE – Army prosecutors have announced the extension of the interval for the criminal prosecution of the former president of the country Ion Iliescu to December 27-31, 1989, for which an endorsement of investigation is not necessary. Ion Iliescu has been summoned to the Prosecutor General’s Office to be informed about the start of his prosecution for crimes against humanity, in the 1989 Revolution Case. On April 13, the current president Klaus Iohannis endorsed the start of the criminal prosecution of Ion Iliescu, of the former Prime Minister Petre Roman and of the former deputy Prime Minister Gelu Voican Voculescu in the Revolution Case. The three ex-officials are now being prosecuted and can be sent to court for crimes against humanity, allegedly committed between the 22 and the 31 of December 1989, when they were holding positions in the National Salvation Front Council, which back then was holding both the executive and the legislative power. According to prosecutors, the armed incidents that occurred after December 22, in several towns and cities across Romania, are indicative of the fact that everything occurred as the result of a pre-established plan, aimed at helping the new leaders take over power and gain legitimacy. The three former officials, though, say they are innocent. According to official statistics, in December 1989 more than 1,100 people were killed and more than 3,000 were wounded, mostly after the arrest of dictator Ceausescu and his wife.



    DIPLOMACY – Romanian President, Klaus Iohannis on Tuesday received the foreign minister of the United Arab Emirates, Sultan al Jaber. According to the Presidential Administration, on the occasion, the Romanian president had special words of appreciation for the stage of bilateral relations, which are very good at political level. Also, President Iohannis said efforts to give an impetus to the two way trade exchanges and to boost investments are further a priority in the relation with the United Arab Emirates, (UEA), which is Romanias largest economic partner in the Gulf area. In turn, Sultan al Jaber said there are potential investment projects, particularly in such domains as energy, transport, infrastructure, logistics, agriculture, tourism and real estate. Also on Tuesday, Sultan al Jaber had talks with his Romanian counterpart, Teodor Melescanu, on trade relations. The two officials also attended the proceedings of the first session of the Romania-UEA Joint Commission.



    BUCHAREST FORMAT – Bucharest is hosting the first parliamentary summit of the Bucharest Format (B9), attended by representatives of nine European countries and high-ranking NATO officials. The summit is aimed at strengthening the role of national parliaments in the security and defence fields. The agenda of the event, which will last until Thursday, includes topics such as the future presence of NATO, the defence and deterrence posture, fighting terrorism, perceptions regarding the threats facing the participant countries and legislative consolidation in the defence field. The B9 summit is aimed at conveying a unitary and coherent message concerning the strengthening of NATO’s Eastern flank, ahead of the NATO summit to be hosted by Brussels in July.



    IMF – The IMF has revised upward, from 4.4% la 5.1%, the outlook for the Romanian economy this year, according to the World Economic Outlook report, released on Tuesday. In 2019, the IMF expects Romanias economy will slow down significantly, down to 3.5% of the GDP. In terms of inflation this year, the forecast has been revised upward, from 3.3% to 4.7%. Also in 2018, the IMF estimated the current account deficit will stand at minus 3.7% and the unemployment rate at 4.6%.



    SUMMIT – On May 4, the Bulgarian city of Ruse will play host to an informal meeting of the presidents of Bulgaria, Austria and Romania, the countries holding successively the rotating presidency of the EU Council as of January 1, 2018. According to the press office of the Bulgarian presidential administration, the three heads of state will debate topics of European interest, which are also among the priorities of the current Bulgarian presidency of the EU Council. The meeting in Ruse is an expression of the three countries’ political will to ensure a common stand with regard to the main topics on the EU agenda, such as the European prospects of the Western Balkans, the future of the cohesion policy and the interconnection of the energy networks in the region.



    HANDBALL
    –     The Romanian women’s handball champions CSM Bucharest will meet the Hungarian
    team Gyor ETO in the Champion League semi-finals, the so called Final Four. If it goes past the Hungarian team, CSM
    Bucharest will face the winning team of the match between HC Vardar of
    Macedonia and Rostov-Don of Russia. The semifinals and the final will be held
    on May 12 and 13, in Budapest, where the Romanian team won the competition back
    in 2016. (Translated by M. Ignatescu and D. Vijeu)

  • January 23, 2018

    January 23, 2018


    SCHENGEN – Romanias President Klaus Iohannis has today stated, at the annual meeting with the heads of the diplomatic missions accredited to Bucharest, that Romanias joining the Schengen area is essential. He has also stated that the logistics needed for Romanias holding the presidency of the EU Council in 2019 must be properly prepared. The head of state has given assurances that Romania will keep taking part in the debates on strengthening the economic and monetary union and has added that, unless it joins the Schengen area, Romania will not enjoy all the benefits ensured by its EU integration. The president has also stated that Romanias foreign policy pillars are the strategic partnership with the US and its membership to the EU and NATO. Klaus Iohannis has also stated that Bucharest firmly pleads for strengthening trans-Atlantic ties.



    OPPOSITION – The National Liberal Party, the main opposition party in Romania, has today presented the so called “black book of the PSD-ALDE governing”. The president of the party Ludovic Orban has stated that 2017 was a lost year for Romania and the country is heading in the wrong direction from a democratic, economic and social point of view. According to the analysis made by the liberals, out of the 724 measures that the government formed by the Social Democratic Party and the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats committed to implementing, only 33 were actually implemented, and as regards major fields such as education, health and the economy, less than 5% of the promised measures were taken. Also, budget expenditure exceeded revenues and the money was not used for development, it was mainly spent on personnel expenditure. The National Liberal Party also claims that, when the coalition started ruling, the inflation rate was 0.2%, to then reach 3.3% in 2017. Previously, Orban had announced that the liberals would establish the way in which they were going to act in Parliament to prevent the validation of the new governmental team, headed by the Social Democrat MEP Viorica Dancila. More on this after the news.



    JUSTICE LAWS – The Constitutional Court is today debating claims filed by the High Court of Cassation and Justice and the opposition National Liberal Party and Save Romania Union regarding the changes brought to the justice laws. One of the notifications concerns the setting up of the Special Prosecutors Office responsible for investigating judges and prosecutors. Magistrates believe that this breaks the principle of equality before the law, as they would become the only professional category in Romania to have a special office for their own prosecution. In turn, the liberals say that the changes brought to the justice laws break several constitutional principles, including the senators and deputies right to have legislative initiatives. On Saturday, dozens of thousand of people protested again against the ruling coalition in Romania, whom they blame for trying to subordinate magistrates and to put an end to the fight against corruption. The changes in the justice laws have also been criticized by president Klaus Iohannis, the media and some of Romanias western partners. The Constitutional Court will probably issue its final ruling on the matter next month.



    IMF – In an update on its bi-annual “World Economic Outlook”, the International Monetary Fund estimates that world economy will increase its growth rate to 4% in 2018 and 2019. Also, the report reads that last year, economic activity in Europe and Asia was surprisingly better than estimated, so the fund has revised upwards its estimates for the Eurozone, in particular for Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. According to the IMF, the US economy would register an economic growth rate of 2.7% in 2018, but that would slow down to 2.5% in 2019. The Chinese economy would register a rate of 6.6% this year, and 6.4% in 2019. As regards Romania, in its “World Economic Outlook”, published in October 2017, the IMF revised the growth rate estimated for Romania in 2018, from 3.4% to 4.4%.



    FLU – A 40-year old woman has died in Botosani, north-eastern Romania, of complications triggered by the flu. This is the third death caused by flu viruses this year in Romania, after a 69 year old woman in Bucharest and a 15-year old boy in Salaj, north-western Romania. The Health Minister Florian Bodog has called on family doctors to continue the anti-flu vaccination campaign this month too, especially of people who are at risk. According to the National Centre for Disease Surveillance and Control, the total number of cases of acute respiratory infections has reached 75,000. Specialists say that, as compared to the same period last season, the total number of ill people is smaller by some 25%.



    AUSTRALIAN OPEN – The pair made up of the Romanian tennis players Irina Begu and Monica Niculescu has qualified for the semifinals of the Australian Open, the first Grand Slam of the year, after a 3 set victory against the US couple Jennifer Brady/Vania King. Next, Begu and Niculescu will take on the Russians Ekaterina Makarova/Elena Vesnina, who won the title in Melbourne back in 2014. On Wednesday, Romanias only representatives in the singles, Simona Halep, takes on Karolina Pliskova of the Czech Republic. Halep is the worlds number one player and also first-seed at the Australian Open.


    (translated by Mihaela Ignatescu)


  • IWF korrigiert Prognosen für Rumänien nach oben

    IWF korrigiert Prognosen für Rumänien nach oben

    Der IWF hat für Rumänien optimistische Prognosen. Die rumänische Wirtschaft wird 2017 und 2018 einen aufsteigenden Trend verzeichnen. Der jungste Bericht der internationalen Finanzorganisation, der am Dienstag veröffentlicht wurde, World Economic Outlook, zeigt, dass der IWF die Schätzungen der Entwicklung der rumänischen Wirtschaft für 2017 nach oben von 4,2% auf 5,5 korrigiert hat. Für das Jahr 2018 gilt ein Anstieg von bis auf 4,4% im Vergleich zu den Prognosen von 3,4%, die im April vorausgesagt wurden. Der bedeutende Anstieg der Investititionen, des Handels, der industriellen Produktion führten zu diesen optimistischen Ziffern.



    Eine weitere gute Nachricht ist, dass die Arbeitslosenzahl gesunken ist. 2017 solle die Arbeitslosenquote 5,3% und im kommenden Jahr 5,2% sein, was auch im April eingeschätzt wurde. Der Wirtschaftsanalytiker Constantin Rudniţchi ist folgender Meinung:



    Natürlich freuen wir uns, dass die rumänische Wirtschaft einen Anstieg verzeichnet. Wir müssen aber andere Motoren dieses Wachstums finden. Außer Konsum und Industrie sollen auch die Investitionen, öffentliche oder private, und warum auch nicht die Dienste, hinzukommen. Weiter sollen wir bemerken, was im Euroraum passiert, weil viele Transaktionen in diesem Raum stattfinden. Hier haben wir einen bescheidenen Anstieg. Ich könnte behaupten, dass wir einen sehr guten Anstieg haben, der aber übererhitzt ist. Im nächsten Jahr wird das Wirtschaftswachstum niedriger sein.



    Andererseits hat der IWF die Entwicklung der Preise nach unten korrigiert. 2018 soll sich aber der Rhythmus der Preiserhöhungen beschleunigen. Die Preise werden in diesem Jahr um nur 1,1% steigen. Der Rhythmus werde aber 2018 bis auf 3,3% steigen.




    Der IFW hat die Prognose für Leistungsbilanzdefizite 2017 von 2,8% auf 3% und von 2,5% auf 2,9% für das kommende Jahr revidiert. Dem Bericht World Economic Outlook zufolge, werden Rumänien und Island in diesem Jahr den höchsten Wirtschaftsanstieg haben und zwar 5,5%, während Europa einen Anstieg von 2,5% verzeichnen wird. Das BIP der Schwellenländer Europas wird um 4,5% steigen. Das Nationale Statistikamt hat am Dienstag den Wirtschaftsanstieg Rumäniens im zweiten Jahresquartal von 5,9% auf 6,1% nach oben korrigiert, verglichen zur selben Jahresperiode 2016. Laut dem Nationalen Statistikamt stieg das BIP in der ersten Jahreshälfte im Vergleich zum ersten Semester 2016 um 5,9%.

  • Previziuni FMI pentru România

    Previziuni FMI pentru România

    Previziuni
    optimiste de la Fondul Monetar Internaţional pentru România: economia ţării va continua să crească anul acesta şi anul care
    vine. Cel mai recent raport, publicat marţi, World Economic Outlook
    arată că instituţia financiară internaţională a revizuit în creştere, de la
    4,2% la 5,5, estimările privind evoluţia economiei în 2017. Şi în 2018 va urma
    o creştere de până la 4,4%, faţă de avansul de 3,4 preconizat în aprilie.
    Creşterea semnificativă a investiţiilor, a comerţului, a producţiei industriale
    din România au generat aceste cifre optimiste. O altă veste bună de la FMI este
    aceea că rata şomajului a fost revizuită tot în scădere. Aşadar, în 2017
    aceasta ar urma să fie de 5,3%, iar anul viitor de 5,2%, nivel similar cu cel
    estimat în aprilie.

    Comentând această prognoză, analistul economic, Constantin
    Rudniţchi consideră că: Evident că ne bucură această creşetere
    economică, dar trebuie să găsim şi alte motoare de creştere. Adică, în afară de
    consum şi de industrie, ar trebui să adăugăm zona de investiţii publice, zona
    de investiţii private, de ce nu, serviciile care şi ele performează. Şi
    atenţie, ar trebui să ne mai uităm şi la ce se întâmplă în zona euro, pentru că
    zona euro este zona noastră predilectă de tranzacţii comerciale şi vedem că acolo
    avem o creştere, dar o creştere modestă, moderată, să o numim aşa, cu limitele
    ei. Ori, din acest punct de vedere, sigur că aş spune că avem un ciclu de
    creştere foarte bun, dar care dă semne de supraîncălzire, dacă nu chiar de
    încetinire începând de anul viitor.

    Pe de altă parte, instituţia financiară
    internaţională a revizuit în scădere evoluţia preţurilor de consum în acest an,
    urmând ca ritmul de creştere a preţurilor să se accelereze anul viitor. Acestea
    vor creşte mai puţin anul acesta, cu doar 1,1%, ritmul se va accelera însă anul
    viitor până la 3,3%. Fondul Monetar Internaţional a modificat şi prognoza
    privind deficitul de cont curent înregistrat de Romania la 3% anul acesta, de
    la 2,8 în aprilie şi la 2,9% anul viitor, de la 2,5 anterior.

    De asemenea,
    conform raportului World Economic Outlook România şi Islanda vor
    consemna în acest an cea mai mare creştere economică din Europa, de 5,5%. Pe
    ansamblu, Europa va înregistra o creştere economică de 2,5%, iar Europa
    Emergentă, regiune unde este inclusă şi România, va avea un avans al PIB de
    4,5%.

    Estimările FMI confirmă în mare parte şi datele prezentate de Institutul
    Naţional de Statistică    . INS
    a revizuit, marţi, în urcare, de la 5,9% la 6,1%, avansul economic al României
    din trimestrul al doilea al acestui an, comparativ cu aceeaşi perioadă a anului
    trecut. Potrivit INS, în semestrul I din 2017, Produsul Intern Brut a crescut,
    comparativ cu semestrul I 2016, cu 5,9%.

  • International Economic Forecasts

    International Economic Forecasts


    The IMF has upgraded its forecasts regarding the world economy in 2017 and 2018, according to its World Economic Outlook report made public on Tuesday, ahead of its spring meeting. The IMF expects a global economic growth rate of 3.5% this year and 3.6% in 2018, as against 3.1% in 2016. Acceleration will be largely felt both in the developed and in the emerging economies, based on investment, manufacturing and trade. The positive outlook is prompted in part by an accelerated growth rate and is owing to the progress reported in Europe, Japan, China and the US. Moreover, many banks, including in Europe and developing countries, have restored their capital and thus gained further elasticity.



    There are, however, risks as well, the IMF warns. The institutions chief economist Maurice Obstfeld says the major risks come from the worlds two leading economies, the USA and China. He explained that the Federal Reserves policy to give up the zero interest rate and the new administrations announcement regarding an extensive investment policy may deepen inflation risks, leading to an appreciation of the US dollar and thus creating difficulties for the emerging countries with dollar-denominated bonds. As regards China, the risks are related to Beijings trade rebalancing process and to its plans to boost the services sector at the expense of the industrial output. Adding to this is a substantial growth in domestic credit, which may cause financial stability problems and spill over to other economies as well, the IMF official explained, and added that protectionist policies jeopardise the recovery process.



    According to the IMF report, Europe will see a 2% economic growth rate, with 3% growth in emerging Europe, Romania included. The Fund has upgraded its growth forecast for Romania, from 3.8 to 4.2% in 2017, and from 3.3 to 3.4% in 2018. The IMF expects Romania to have the second-highest growth rate in Europe this year, only outpaced by Iceland (5.7%). The main engine of growth is consumption, as a result of the cuts in taxes, salary increases, and lower interest rates for both the domestic currency and the euro. The IMF also expects the countrys unemployment rate to fall significantly this year, to 5.4%, as opposed to the 6.2% in its previous forecast, and to 5.2% in 2018. On the other hand, the Fund also revised its inflation estimates, from negative 1.6% last year to 1.3% in 2017 and over 3% next year. The Funds main concerns, as far as the Romanian economy goes, have to do with the sustainability of public finances in the context of the recent salary increases.




  • Creştere accentuată pentru economia românească

    Creştere accentuată pentru economia românească

    România va
    înregistra, în acest an, cea mai mare creştere economică din Europa, urmată de
    Irlanda, 4,9%. Aprecierea optimistă aparţine Fondului Monetar Internaţional,
    care a revizuit, în creştere până la 5%, estimările privind evoluţia economiei
    româneşti în acest an. In luna aprilie, instituţia financiară anticipa o
    creştere de 4,2 procente.

    În prognoza de primăvară,
    Comisia Naţională de Prognoză, instituţie aflată în subordinea
    Ministerului Finanţelor şi pe care guvernul îşi bazează proiecţiile bugetare şi
    economice, estima o creştere a economiei cu 4,2%, nivel identic cu estimarea
    Fondului Monetar Internaţional şi cu cea a Comisiei Europene. În
    septembrie, Comisia Naţională de Prognoză a revizuit în urcare, de la 4,2% până
    la 4,8%, estimarea oficială de creştere economică pentru acest an, după
    evoluţia mult peste estimări din prima jumătate a acestui an.

    Potrivit
    celui mai nou raport World Economic Outlook, publicat marţi, FMI
    avertizează că vârful de creştere economică înregistrat în 2016 de România va
    fi urmat în 2017 de o încetinire până la 3,8%, uşor
    peste avansul de 3,6% preconizat în luna aprilie. Dar, chiar şi aşa, ţara va
    înregistra şi anul viitor cel mai ridicat ritm de creştere economică din
    Europa. În acelaşi timp, pentru 2018, FMI estimează că economia româneasca va
    inregistra o creştere de 3,3%.

    Pe de
    altă parte, Fondul a modificat si evolutia preturilor de consum în România în
    acest an. Astfel, estimările au fost revizuite de la minus 0,4% în aprilie la
    minus 1,5%, ceea ce inseamnă că România şi Bulgaria vor fi pe primele locuri în
    UE în privinţa inflaţiei medii anuale negative. Totuşi, pentru 2017, FMI
    apreciază că preţurile de consum în România se vor majora, înregistrând o
    creştere de 1,7%, pentru ca în 2018 să crească cu 2,5%.

    Instituţia financiară a revizuit în urcare şi
    estimările privind deficitul de cont curent înregistrat de România în 2016, de
    la 1,7% în aprilie la 2%. Deficitul de cont curent se va accentua anul viitor,
    când ar urma să ajungă la 2,8, în comparaţie cu 2,5% cât se estima în aprilie. În 2018, deficitul ar urma să treacă pragul de 3% din PIB, ajungând la 3,2%.

    În
    privinţa şomajului, Fondul Monetar Internaţional a menţinut estimarea de 6,4%
    pentru acest an si 6,2% pentru anul viitor.