Tag: EBRD

  • September 26, 2024 UPDATE

    September 26, 2024 UPDATE

     

    FLOODS The Danube flood tide is expected to reach Romania on October 2-3, when the river flow rate is expected to reach 9,500 cubic metres per second, the manager of the Romanian Waters National Agency, Sorin Lucaci, announced. The Emergency Directorate announced measures have already been prepared, and will be adjusted to the new circumstances triggered by the heavy rainfalls announced for this weekend. The Emergency Directorate chief, Raed Arafat, said at the end of today’s Cabinet meeting that citizens will be kept informed, including through the Ro-Alert emergency service, and that local authorities have been instructed to identify vulnerable citizens and to plan for their timely evacuation. The Danube has so far caused major floods in the countries it transits, as Storm Ashley has hit Europe, bringing low temperatures, strong wind and massive rainfalls.

     

    UN Insecure as today’s world may be, the answer to our problems will always be more cooperation and more solidarity, said Romania’s president Klaus Iohannis in his address at the UN General Assembly on Wednesday. He also highlighted Romania’s efforts and contribution to solving current global challenges, from security crises such as the war in Ukraine and the Middle East conflict to the major challenges facing the world. Iohannis pointed out that security is not a regional, but a global matter, and that the war waged by Russia in Ukraine has affected nations and people around the globe.

     

    ECONOMY The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development significantly revised downwards its economic growth forecast for Romania this year, as the lower outsourcing demand has hit the IT sector, according to a report released on Thursday. The EBRD expects Romania’s GDP to grow by 1.4% this year, down from its previous estimate of 3.2% in May. For next year, the EBRD expects a 2.6% growth rate, down from the 3.4% figure proposed in May. The increase in the minimum wage in Romania and Bulgaria has stimulated demand but led to a growth in the trade deficit and added to inflationist pressure, the report also says. The EBRD mentions that the latest forecasts of the Tax Council in Bucharest indicate an increase in the budget deficit to around 8% of GDP this year. The International Monetary Fund also revised downwards its forecast concerning Romania’s economic growth this year, from 3.8% last October to 2.8% in its World Economic Outlook released in April this year. Last week, the National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis revised its estimates concerning the GDP growth down to 2.8% from 3.4% previously.

     

    EU The European Commission has initiated 2 infringement procedures against Romania, and requests notification on the progress in implementing 2 directives. The infringement package targets 26 member states, with Denmark as the exception. The first procedure against Romania concerns its failing to fully transpose into national law the provisions of the revised Renewable Energy Directive related to the simplification and acceleration of permitting procedures. Romania and the other 25 notified states should have transposed the directive by July 1, 2024. The second notification, received by a total 17 member states, has to do with failing to notify their national measures transposing the Accounting Directive, the Transparency Directive and the Audit Directive. The deadline was July 6, 2024. In both cases, Romania has 2 months to fully transpose the directives and to notify the European Commission.

     

    IMMIGRATION Romania is becoming more and more attractive to foreign workers, according to a survey conducted by the Foundation for the Development of Civil Society. The home countries of most foreign workers in Romania include Nepal, Turkey, Italy, Moldova, Sri Lanka and India. They work in constructions, the hospitality industry and retail, and according to the Immigration Inspectorate General 80% of them get unskilled jobs. Integrating foreign workers is not easy, but it is important for Romania’s economic development, says the head of the EU representative office in Romania, Ramona Chiriac. She said foreign workers are facing language barriers and abuse by employers. In this respect, several ministries are working together on legislation to help immigrants, the PM’s office has announced. In 2023, the number of foreign workers employed in Romania was 200,000.

     

    BUSINESS Members of the Romanian business community complain that, in spite of their investments in dual education, many of the youth completing such programmes leave the country. The deputy chair of the Romanian Association of Small and Mid-sized Traders, Feliciu Paraschiv, says there are no guarantees that those who provide financial support to a student for 2-3 years will eventually benefit from the knowledge they have gained, and that Romanian entrepreneurs end up training the future employees of more developed countries. Paraschiv believes education institutions should be more connected to the actual demand in the economy and highlighted the need for a change in the public perception of certain jobs.

     

    CITIES The city of Braşov, in central Romania, is viewed as the most attractive city to live in, according to an urban attractiveness survey conducted by the Institute for Visionary Cities. Braşov is followed by Cluj-Napoca and Oradea, in the north-west, Sibiu, in the centre, Timişoara (west), Constanţa (south-east), the capital city Bucharest, Iaşi (north-east), Alba Iulia (centre), and Piatra Neamţ (north-east). The survey looks at moving plans and the overall perception of the quality of life. The authors highlighted that leisure opportunities have proved to be the most important element for interviewees, overshadowing traditional factors such as well-paying jobs and infrastructure. The latter still ranks second, followed by a city’s capacity to encourage creativity and innovation.

     

    TENNIS The Romanian tennis player Irina Begu Thursday defeated China’s Ye-Xin Ma, 1-6, 6-4, 6-1, in the WTA 1000 tournament in Beijing. Begu (34, ranked 103rd WTA) is next to take on seed no. 17, Mirra Andreeva (Russia). In the same competition, another Romanian player, Jaqueline Christian, defeated Ana Bondar (Hungary), 1-6, 6-7, whereas Gabriela Ruse lost to Sijia Wei (China), 4-6, 6-7. (AMP)

  • Die Wirtschaftsprognose für Rumänien

    Die Wirtschaftsprognose für Rumänien


    Der Internationale Währungsfonds hat seine jüngste Wirtschaftsprognose veröffentlicht. Demnach erholt sich die Weltwirtschaft nach der Pandemie, dem Einmarsch Russlands in der Ukraine und der Energiekrise 2022 weiter, doch die mittelfristigen Aussichten sind mä‎ßig. Der IWF erwartet für das kommende Jahr ein weltweites Wachstum von 3 %, wobei die Vereinigten Staaten Europa voraussichtlich überholen werden. Die Zahlen zeigen auch, dass Deutschland die einzige G7-Wirtschaft ist, die in diesem Jahr schrumpft. Der Internationale Währungsfonds erwartet für Rumänien ein Wirtschaftswachstum von 2,2 % in diesem Jahr und 3,8 % im nächsten Jahr. Die internationale Finanzinstitution prognostiziert für Rumänien eine durchschnittliche jährliche Inflationsrate von 10,7 % im Jahr 2023 und 5,8 % im Jahr 2024. Der IWF schätzt die Arbeitslosenquote für dieses Jahr auf 5,6 %, wie in dem letzten Jahr, und auf 5,4 % im kommenden Jahr. Zudem hat eine kürzlich durchgeführte Mission des Fonds in Rumänien mitgeteilt, dass das Defizit in diesem Jahr voraussichtlich 6 % erreichen und im nächsten Jahr auf 5 % sinken wird. Die IWF-Experten empfehlen, dass die Regierung für die kommenden Jahre ein Haushaltsdefizit von 3 % des BIP erreichen sollte. Jan Kees Martijn, der Leiter des IWF-Missionsteams in Rumänien, glaubt, dass das von der Regierung geplante steuerliche Ma‎ßnahmenpaket nicht ausreicht und besonders im Wahljahr schwierig umzusetzen sein wird. Das Paket zielt darauf ab, das Haushaltsdefizit zu reduzieren, aber es bedarf weiterer Programme, um die Effizienz und die Einnahmen zu erhöhen. Die rumänische Regierung sollte sich auf die Verbesserung der Steuererhebung und die Abschaffung von Steuerbefreiungen konzentrieren. Jan Kees Martijn ist überzeugt, dass die Steuer auf Banken eine zusätzliche Belastung für die Unternehmen darstellt und deren finanzielle Leistungsfähigkeit beeinträchtigen könnte. Die Steuer-Politik muss gut geplant und klar kommuniziert werden. So kann sie für Firmen und Menschen sicher sein. Eine genauere Vorhersage der Ausgaben für Renten und Gehälter ist zu begrü‎ßen, und die Entscheidung der Regierung, Lebensmittelpreise zu kontrollieren, ist keine gute Strategie zur Preissenkung.“ Er vertritt die Meinung, dass in Rumänien weitere Investitionen notwendig sind, um das Bildungs- und Gesundheitssystem auf EU-Niveau zu bringen, dass Privilegien im öffentlichen System abgeschafft werden sollten und der Übergang zu einer grünen Wirtschaft unterstützt werden sollte. Die Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung hat ebenfalls ihre Prognosen für die rumänische Wirtschaft angepasst. Laut der EBRD wird das rumänische BIP dieses Jahr voraussichtlich um 1,8 % und im nächsten Jahr um 3,2 % wachsen.

  • September 27, 2023 UPDATE

    September 27, 2023 UPDATE

    EBRD The European Bank for Reconstruction
    and Development has revised down its forecast on the development of the
    Romanian economy in 2023 and 2024, according to a report made public on
    Wednesday by this international financial institution. Thus, Romania’s GDP is
    likely to grow only by 1.8% this year, from the 2.5% May forecast. Also,
    the country’s economy is expected to see a 3.2% growth next year, as
    compared to 3.5% estimated in May, the report also says.




    COVID The COVID-19 cases are on the rise in
    Romania with over 14,800 infections confirmed in the past week. The number of
    cases is four times higher than a month ago. 41.3% of the new infections have
    been registered in Bucharest, Timis, in the west of the country, Iasi in the
    north-east, Prahova and Ilfov in the south. The number of hospitalized patients
    is also on the rise. Out of the 1150 patients reported, 74 are presently in ICU.
    27 people died last week after being infected with SARS-COV2. Almost all were
    suffering from other diseases.






    DEFENCE Romania’s Chief of Staff
    has staged an online meeting with the representatives of the local public
    authorities in south-eastern Romania in the context of the latest Russian
    attacks on the Ukrainian bank of the Danube. According to a communiqué by the Ministry
    of Defence, the conference focused on the optimization of the
    inter-institutional coordination. High on the agenda were also a presentation
    of the security situation, the army’s public communication, issues related to preparing
    the population, economy and territory for defence, the legal responsibilities
    of various institutions in the national defence system.




    SCHENGEN Romania expects and deserves a
    positive decision during the Spanish presidency of the EU Council regarding the
    Schengen enlargement, the President of the European Parliament, Roberta
    Metsola, said in Brussels. She was optimistic about the entry of Romania and
    Bulgaria into the ​​free movement area. The accession of the two countries was
    blocked by Austria and the Netherlands, at the Justice and Home Affairs Council
    last December, for alleged insufficient control of migrant flows. In the case
    of Romania, Austria was the only country against the accession.


    (bill)

  • February 28, 2022

    February 28, 2022

    MEETING -
    Romania’s president Klaus Iohannis on Monday met with the president of the
    European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Odile Renaud-Basso, on
    the sidelines of the European Investment Bank Group Forum in Luxembourg.
    According to the Presidency, Klaus Iohannis praised the activity of the EBRD in
    Romania, in particular its support to the private sector by means of a wide
    array of financial and technical assistance instruments. Additionally, the
    president underscored the EBRD’s key role in funding investment at local level
    as well, including to boost the absorption of EU funds. President Iohannis
    praised the EBRD’s support to the development of Romania’s capital markets.
    Klaus Iohannis also met with the president of the European Investment Bank
    Group, Werner Hoyer, and hailed the substantial contribution of this
    institution to the implementation of EU objectives and policies, particularly
    as regards investment in the public and private sectors. President Iohannis
    spoke of the excellent cooperation between the EIB and Romania, highlighting
    the fact that the Bank has been Bucharest’s strategic partner for over 32
    years, providing specialized technical assistance in a number of fields and
    funding major reform projects.


    AGREEMENT -
    The British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the European Commission president
    Ursula von der Leyen have reached an agreement that is expected to end trade
    disputes in Northern Ireland in the wake of Brexit. The two officials said the
    agreement marks a fresh start in bilateral relations. According to Radio
    Romania’s London correspondent, Sunak and von der Leyen used an unprecedented
    cordial tone to announce the impossible: a new deal that would simplify trade
    with Northern Ireland at UK level, and that would also protect the EU’s single
    market. Should the new agreement be ratified, trading with Northern Ireland
    will become easier, cheaper and faster. Romania’s president Klaus Iohannis has
    hailed the new agreement on Twitter, stating that the EU and the UK remain key
    allies, devoted to tackling global challenges together.


    UKRAINE – Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr
    Zelensky, has admitted that the situation in Bakhmut, a city sieged by Russian
    invasion forces, is getting more difficult by the day. The enemy is
    systematically destroying anything that can be used to reinforce our defenses,
    Zelensky said, who labeled Ukrainian servicemen involved in this battle true
    heroes. As early as last summer, Moscow’s troops have been trying to take
    Bakhmut, a key strategic settlement, that has become a symbol of the battle for
    the entire Donbas region. In a statement to the Russian television, the head of
    pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk, Denis Pushilin, claims that all access
    routes to the Ukrainian fortress in Bakhmut are in firing range. Previously,
    the owner of the Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, announced his mercenaries had
    captured the village of Yahidne, just north of the city.


    VISIT – New projects in the energy
    sector are high on the agenda of the official visit paid by Romanian Chamber of
    Deputies Speaker Marcel Ciolacu to Azerbaijan. Marcel Ciolacu met in Baku with
    the Azeri president Ilham Aliyev. Talks focused on the contract for the
    delivery of 1 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Romania over a year. The
    contract is also meant to support the Republic of Moldova as well, Marcel
    Ciolacu said. The project for the
    transport of LNG and the ROMGAZ-SOCAR partnership for the construction of two
    terminals in the Black Sea have also been examined by the two officials. The
    underwater cable will be 1,200 km long and will transport as much as 1,000
    megawatts, carrying electricity via Georgia under the Black Sea to Romania and
    then to Hungary and the rest of Europe. Azerbaijan is Romania’s first partner
    in the South Caucasus, Marcel Ciolacu said.


    WIZZ AIR – The Hungarian low-cost airline Wizz Air will suspend all
    flights in and out of Chișinău starting March 14 due to an elevated risk of
    crossing the Moldovan airspace, in the context of the war in Ukraine. The
    safety of passengers and operating crews remains the number one priority for
    Wizz Air, and the company did not take this decision easily, a press release
    reads. Starting March 14, Wizz Air will offer additional flights out of Iași,
    in the north, to support passengers from the Republic of Moldova. A new
    Iași-Berlin route will be established, while Wizz Air will supplement flights
    to Barcelona, Milan, Bergamo, Bologna, Rome, Dortmund, Larnaca, London and
    Treviso. (VP)

  • February 28, 2022

    February 28, 2022

    MEETING -
    Romania’s president Klaus Iohannis on Monday met with the president of the
    European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Odile Renaud-Basso, on
    the sidelines of the European Investment Bank Group Forum in Luxembourg.
    According to the Presidency, Klaus Iohannis praised the activity of the EBRD in
    Romania, in particular its support to the private sector by means of a wide
    array of financial and technical assistance instruments. Additionally, the
    president underscored the EBRD’s key role in funding investment at local level
    as well, including to boost the absorption of EU funds. President Iohannis
    praised the EBRD’s support to the development of Romania’s capital markets.
    Klaus Iohannis also met with the president of the European Investment Bank
    Group, Werner Hoyer, and hailed the substantial contribution of this
    institution to the implementation of EU objectives and policies, particularly
    as regards investment in the public and private sectors. President Iohannis
    spoke of the excellent cooperation between the EIB and Romania, highlighting
    the fact that the Bank has been Bucharest’s strategic partner for over 32
    years, providing specialized technical assistance in a number of fields and
    funding major reform projects.


    AGREEMENT -
    The British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the European Commission president
    Ursula von der Leyen have reached an agreement that is expected to end trade
    disputes in Northern Ireland in the wake of Brexit. The two officials said the
    agreement marks a fresh start in bilateral relations. According to Radio
    Romania’s London correspondent, Sunak and von der Leyen used an unprecedented
    cordial tone to announce the impossible: a new deal that would simplify trade
    with Northern Ireland at UK level, and that would also protect the EU’s single
    market. Should the new agreement be ratified, trading with Northern Ireland
    will become easier, cheaper and faster. Romania’s president Klaus Iohannis has
    hailed the new agreement on Twitter, stating that the EU and the UK remain key
    allies, devoted to tackling global challenges together.


    UKRAINE – Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr
    Zelensky, has admitted that the situation in Bakhmut, a city sieged by Russian
    invasion forces, is getting more difficult by the day. The enemy is
    systematically destroying anything that can be used to reinforce our defenses,
    Zelensky said, who labeled Ukrainian servicemen involved in this battle true
    heroes. As early as last summer, Moscow’s troops have been trying to take
    Bakhmut, a key strategic settlement, that has become a symbol of the battle for
    the entire Donbas region. In a statement to the Russian television, the head of
    pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk, Denis Pushilin, claims that all access
    routes to the Ukrainian fortress in Bakhmut are in firing range. Previously,
    the owner of the Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, announced his mercenaries had
    captured the village of Yahidne, just north of the city.


    VISIT – New projects in the energy
    sector are high on the agenda of the official visit paid by Romanian Chamber of
    Deputies Speaker Marcel Ciolacu to Azerbaijan. Marcel Ciolacu met in Baku with
    the Azeri president Ilham Aliyev. Talks focused on the contract for the
    delivery of 1 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Romania over a year. The
    contract is also meant to support the Republic of Moldova as well, Marcel
    Ciolacu said. The project for the
    transport of LNG and the ROMGAZ-SOCAR partnership for the construction of two
    terminals in the Black Sea have also been examined by the two officials. The
    underwater cable will be 1,200 km long and will transport as much as 1,000
    megawatts, carrying electricity via Georgia under the Black Sea to Romania and
    then to Hungary and the rest of Europe. Azerbaijan is Romania’s first partner
    in the South Caucasus, Marcel Ciolacu said.


    WIZZ AIR – The Hungarian low-cost airline Wizz Air will suspend all
    flights in and out of Chișinău starting March 14 due to an elevated risk of
    crossing the Moldovan airspace, in the context of the war in Ukraine. The
    safety of passengers and operating crews remains the number one priority for
    Wizz Air, and the company did not take this decision easily, a press release
    reads. Starting March 14, Wizz Air will offer additional flights out of Iași,
    in the north, to support passengers from the Republic of Moldova. A new
    Iași-Berlin route will be established, while Wizz Air will supplement flights
    to Barcelona, Milan, Bergamo, Bologna, Rome, Dortmund, Larnaca, London and
    Treviso. (VP)

  • Rumänischer Botschafter in Kiew: Rumänien will sich am Wiederaufbau der Ukraine beteiligen

    Rumänischer Botschafter in Kiew: Rumänien will sich am Wiederaufbau der Ukraine beteiligen



    Die Ukraine wird den härtesten Winter seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg erleben, und sowohl Kiew als auch seine Freunde müssen sich auf diese Herausforderung vorbereiten — so der rumänische Botschafter in der Ukraine, Alexandru Victor Micula. Au‎ßerdem sollte sich niemand durch die Angriffe des Putin-Regimes auf die zivile Infrastruktur in der Ukraine einschüchtern lassen. Der rumänische Botschafter lie‎ß ferner wissen, dass Bukarest durch Projekte der Europäischen Union sowie durch eigenes Aufkommen am Wiederaufbau der Ukraine beteiligt sein wird. Alexandru Victor Micula, der seinen Posten in Kiew erst im Juli dieses Jahres angetreten hat, erklärt gegenüber Radio Rumänien, wie der Wiederaufbauprozess abgewickelt werden soll:



    Wir müssen uns darüber im Klaren sein, dass dies ein sehr komplexer Prozess sein wird, denn wenn ich mich an die Zeit der Lugano-Konferenz Anfang Juli zurückerinnere, dann sprachen wir damals von 40.000 Objekten, die teilweise oder vollständig zerstört worden waren und für deren Wiederaufbau Hilfe benötigt wird. Als ich auf meinem Posten ankam, hatte sich die Zahl der vollständig oder teilweise zerstörten Ziele bereits verdoppelt, und mit der Befreiung der ukrainischen Gebiete sehen wir, dass das Ausma‎ß der Zerstörung im Land enorm ist, so dass der Bedarf mit der Fortsetzung der kriegerischen Auseinandersetzungen exponentiell steigt. Wir müssen die Bemühungen der ukrainischen Behörden anerkennen, die in erster Linie darauf abzielen, die Liste der wiederaufzubauenden Objekte ständig zu aktualisieren. Zweitens muss man wissen, dass die Ukrainer eine von der Weltbank entwickelte Methode zur Schätzung der Wiederaufbaukosten für jedes einzelne Ziel anwenden. Drittens wird die Liste der wiederaufzubauenden Objekte mit der Liste der potenziellen Geber, der Länder oder der internationalen Institutionen verglichen, die den Wiederaufbau übernehmen, so dass es zu keinen Überschneidungen in der Finanzierung kommt. Und jetzt arbeiten wir zusammen mit der Europäischen Kommission, der Weltbank und der Europäischen Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung (EBRD) an der vierten Komponente, dem Finanzierungsmechanismus für den Wiederaufbau. Wir möchten auch einige Wiederaufbauprojekte durchführen, bei denen wir uns als Land profilieren können, und wir befinden uns in der Phase, in der wir die potenziellen Gebiete bewerten und den Bereich auswählen, auf den wir uns spezialisieren wollen.“



    Nebst Regierungsprogrammen oder der Beteiligung am Wiederaufbau zusammen mit anderen Mitgliedstaaten und der Europäischen Kommission gibt es in Rumänien auch viele der Ukraine zugute kommenden Projekte, die von lokalen Behörden, NGO, Stiftungen und sogar Freiwilligen durchgeführt werden. All diese Hilfe für die Ukraine ist wichtig. Doch die Bedürfnisse sind so gro‎ß, dass all das, was von ganzem Herzen angeboten werden kann, nur ein halber Tropfen auf den hei‎ßen Stein ist, so Alexandru Victor Micula, der rumänische Botschafter in der Ukraine.

  • The EBRD improves estimates for Romania

    The EBRD improves estimates for Romania

    Romanias economy evolved in the first half of the year much better than expected. This is confirmed by the latest EBRD report, which shows that after a 5.9% rebound in 2021, boosted by private consumption, the GDP registered a surprising growth of 5.8% in the first months of 2022. The international financial institution says that all private consumption, especially of services, was the trigger of growth this time as well, being stimulated by the removal of restrictions related to the pandemic. The GDP growth for the whole of 2022 is estimated somewhere at 5.4% and follows the trend recently indicated also by the assessment mission carried out by the IMF in Romania. The IMF estimated a growth rate of the Romanian economy of 4.8%, higher by more than 2%.



    Things will look completely different next year, though, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development officials believe. For 2023, the bank estimates an economic growth rate of only 1.9%, which was itself revised upwards from the May estimate. The spring estimates showed that Romanias Gross Domestic Product was to report an increase of 2.9% in 2022 and a contraction of 1.1% in 2023. The EBRD puts the blame for the modest growth forecast for next year mainly on the deterioration of household incomes and on financing and energy costs, which constrain investments. Adding to this is the weak external demand, particularly from Germany, the EBRD report shows.



    At the same time, financial experts even warn that there are still risks of a decline in Romanias economy, in the event of a more serious recession than expected in the euro zone. The EBRD shows that in all three EU member states in Southeastern Europe – Romania, Bulgaria and Greece – which recorded solid economic growth in the first half of 2022, signs of a significant slowdown are beginning to emerge. Inflation has reached two-digit figures, and uncertainty about energy supplies in the coming months is affecting confidence and investment.



    The international financial institution estimates that economies in its region of activity will register growth of 2.3% in 2022, above its May forecasts, thanks to solid activity in the first half of the year, when households spent the savings accumulated during the pandemic quarantines, despite a decline in real wages. However, the reduction in Russian gas supplies led the EBRD to reduce its growth forecasts for next year to 3%, from 4.7% as previously estimated. Ukraines GDP is estimated to contract by almost one third in 2022, while Russias economy is expected to shrink by 5%, instead of the 10% as the EBRD had previously estimated. (LS)

  • EBRD, Aufwärtsprognose für Rumänien

    EBRD, Aufwärtsprognose für Rumänien


    Die rumänische Wirtschaft hat sich in der ersten Jahreshälfte wesentlich besser entwickelt als erwartet. Dies wird durch den jüngsten Bericht der Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung bestätigt. Aus diesem Bericht geht hervor, dass das BIP nach einem Anstieg von 5,9 % im Jahr 2021, der durch den privaten Verbrauch begünstigt wurde, in den ersten Monaten des Jahres 2022 überraschend um 5,8 % gewachsen ist. Die internationale Finanzinstitution geht davon aus, dass der gesamte private Verbrauch, insbesondere der Dienstleistungssektor, auch dieses Mal die treibende Kraft war, begünstigt von der Aufhebung der Coronaeinschränkungen.




    Das BIP-Wachstum für das Jahr 2022 insgesamt wird auf 5,4 % geschätzt und folgt damit dem Trend, den die IWF-Bewertungsmission in Rumänien kürzlich festgestellt hat. Der Fonds schätzt das Wachstum der rumänischen Wirtschaft auf 4,8 %, was einem Anstieg von mehr als 2 % entspricht. Im nächsten Jahr könnte es jedoch schrumpfen, meint die Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung. Für das Jahr 2023 wird ein Wirtschaftswachstum von lediglich 1,9 % prognostiziert. Doch auch dieser Wert wurde gegenüber der Schätzung vom Mai nach oben korrigiert. Der Frühjahresschätzung zufolge sollte das rumänische Bruttoinlandsprodukt im Jahr 2022 um 2,9 % wachsen und im Jahr 2023 um 1,1 % schrumpfen. Die Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung macht für die bescheidene Wachstumsprognose für das nächste Jahr hauptsächlich die Verschlechterung der Haushaltseinkommen sowie die Finanzierungs- und Energiekosten verantwortlich. Hinzu kommt die schwache Auslandsnachfrage, insbesondere aus Deutschland, so der Bericht. Gleichzeitig warnen Finanzexperten sogar vor weiteren Abwärtsrisiken für die rumänische Wirtschaft, sollte die Rezession im Euroraum stärker ausfallen als erwartet.




    Die Bank weist darauf hin, dass in allen drei südosteuropäischen EU-Mitgliedstaaten — Rumänien, Bulgarien und Griechenland -, die in der ersten Hälfte des Jahres 2022 ein solides Wirtschaftswachstum verzeichneten, Anzeichen für eine deutliche Verlangsamung zu erkennen sind. Die Inflation hat den zweistelligen Bereich erreicht, und die Unsicherheit über die Energieversorgung in den kommenden Monaten wirkt sich auf das Vertrauen und die Investitionen aus. Das internationale Finanzinstitut geht davon aus, dass die Wirtschaft in der Region im Jahr 2022 nur um 2,3 % wachsen wird und damit dennoch über der Prognose im Mai liegt. Dies ist der soliden Konjunktur in der ersten Jahreshälfte zu verdanken, da die Haushalte trotz eines Rückgangs der Reallöhne ihre Ersparnisse aus den Pandemie-Quarantänen ausgaben. Wegen der Verringerung der russischen Gaslieferungen senkte die Bank ihre Wachstumsprognose für das nächste Jahr auf 3 %, nachdem sie zuvor von einem Anstieg um 4,7 % ausgegangen war.




    Das ukrainische Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird bis 2022 voraussichtlich um fast ein Drittel schrumpfen, während die russische Wirtschaft um 5 % schrumpfen wird, statt um 10 %, wie zuvor von der Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung geschätzt. (Corina Cristea)

  • September 28, 2022

    September 28, 2022

    ECONOMY The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has
    upgraded its estimates on Romania’s economic performance in 2022 and 2023, but warns that a significant slow-down is expected next year,
    according to a report made public on Wednesday. According to the new forecasts,
    Romania’s economy is expected to grow by 5.4% this year and 1.9% next year, a
    significant improvement from the 2.9% for 2022 and negative 1.1% for 2023,
    estimated in May. EBRD is a major institutional investor in Romania, running
    nearly 500 projects with a combined budget of close to EUR 10 billion.


    TRADE Trade
    exchanges between Romania and the US reached USD 5.4 billion last year, as
    against USD 2.4 billion in 2011, according to a report released by the American
    Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Romania, AmCham, as part of the U.S. -
    Romania Economic Forum on Wednesday. Direct and indirect US investment in
    Romania went up from USD 6.5 billion in 2019, to USD 7.5 billion in 2020. The
    US is Romania’s 5th-largest trade partner, accounting for 6.8% of the country’s
    international trade, and the largest outside the EU. The biggest US investments
    in Romania by turnover are in manufacturing, agriculture and healthcare. As
    many as 900 companies in Romania are running on US capital, ranking 3rd after
    Hungary and the Czech Republic.


    PLAGIARISM The University of
    Bucharest says the plagiarism accusations against the education minister Sorin
    Cîmpeanu must be analysed thoroughly, outside any type of pressure, by the
    relevant bodies in the university in question and other public institutions. The
    University condemns any measure that breaches academic ethics and integrity. In
    turn, the National School of Political and Administrative Studies condemns all
    forms of plagiarism and highlights that the education minister’s decision to
    dismantle the National Council Attesting
    University Titles, Diplomas and Certificates is not constructive and does not
    contribute to a true reform of the education sector. On the other hand, USR and Force of the Right MPs, in
    opposition in Romania, have tabled a simple motion entitled Romania
    educated to steal. Sorin Cîmpeanu is a disgrace for education. Plagiarism
    allegations against the education minister have been circulated in the media. Cîmpeanu
    denied the allegations and argued that they are a move to undermine the
    education laws.


    JUDICIARY A special parliamentary committee on the justice laws today
    carries on talks on the draft statute regulating the judge and prosecutor
    professions. On Tuesday, the committee accepted some amendments brought by the
    National Liberal Party (in power) and the Higher Council of Magistrates, but
    dismissed all the amendments tabled by the opposition. USR and AUR parties
    requested changes in judge and prosecutor secondment and delegation procedures,
    and in the procedures for dismissing magistrates. The bill is next to be
    reviewed by the Chamber of Deputies. This is the 3rd act in the
    justice law package to be discussed by the committee, after the ones concerning
    the Higher Council of Magistrates and the organisation of courts, which have
    already been endorsed by the Chamber of Deputies. The Senate is the
    decision-making parliamentary body in this respect.


    UKRAINE Ukraine’s foreign ministry Wednesday called for a substantial
    increase of Western military support, one day after the so-called referendums
    regarding the annexation of 4 Ukrainian regions by Russia. The ballots have
    been criticised by a large part of the international community, France Presse
    reports. Kyiv also urged all countries and international organisations to
    condemn Kremlin’s illegal actions in the territories occupied in Ukraine. The
    pro-Russian authorities in the Ukrainian regions of Donetsk, Luhansk,
    Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Tuesday announced the votes were in favour of the
    annexation by Russia. In the next stage, Russia’s parliament is to vote on a
    document making the integration of the 4 regions in the Russian Federation
    official. The EU announced it would
    never recognise the results of the referendums. (A.M.P.)

  • Wirtschaftsprognose: EBRD prognostiziert Wachstum von 7,2 % für Rumänien

    Wirtschaftsprognose: EBRD prognostiziert Wachstum von 7,2 % für Rumänien

    Die Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung (EBRD) hat ihre Einschätzung des rumänischen Wirtschaftswachstums für 2021 deutlich verbessert und prognostiziert ein Wachstum von 7,2% gegenüber 6% im Juni, wie aus einem unlängst veröffentlichten Bericht hervorgeht. Der Wiederaufbau- und Resilienzplan könnte au‎ßerdem zu einem Anstieg der Investitionen und einer allmählichen Zunahme der Exporte führen, während der geringere private Verbrauch und die Haushaltskonsolidierung ein Wachstum des BIP von 4,4% bewirken könnten, so die Experten der Bank.



    Allerdings warnt die EBRD auch vor unvorhergesehenen Risiken, die die Prognose etwas nach unten korrigieren könnten. Für Rumänien ist die weitere Entwicklung der Pandemie eine gro‎ße Unbekannte, zumal das Land zu den Schlusslichtern der EU in puncto Durchimpfungsrate gehört. Die angestiegenen Preise für Erdgas und Erdöl dämpfen ihrerseits den Optimismus der Experten, denn Rumänien muss in diesem Winter — wie andere Staaten auch — den Endverbrauchern und Haushalten mit geringen Einkommen bei der Bezahlung der erhöhten Heizkosten unter die Arme greifen. Störungen in den Lieferketten und eine Entwertung der Landeswährung könnten ihrerseits den Wirtschaftsweisen einen Strich durch die Rechnung machen.



    Nach Angaben der EBRD erleben Griechenland, Rumänien und Bulgarien nach dem schwierigen Jahr 2020 eine deutliche wirtschaftliche Erholung. Rumäniens wichtigster Wachstumsantrieb scheint dabei die Nachfrage auf den internen Märkten zu sein. Dennoch sei Vorsicht geboten, denn die erhöhten Preise für Rohstoffe könnten die wirtschaftliche Wiederankurbelung kompromittieren, weil insbesondere Länder, die Energie importieren, eine Beeinträchtigung ihrer Handelsbilanz in Kauf nehmen müssten. Zugleich werden die höheren Energiepreise als eine Art Test für die Akzeptanz der Unannehmlichkeiten angesehen, die mit einer grünen Umkrempelung des Energiesektors einhergehen.



    Im Schnitt geht die EBRD von einem Wirtschaftswachstum in Mittelosteuropa von 5,5% im Jahr 2021 aus — das sind wiederum um 1,3 Prozent mehr als in der vorangegangenen Prognose vom Juni. 2022 werde das Wachstum dann moderater ausfallen und nur noch 3,8% erreichen.



    Die Europäische Bank für Wiederaufbau und Entwicklung (EBRD) wurde 1991 ins Leben gerufen — mit dem Ziel, in den ehemaligen Ostblockstaaten zu investieren und den Übergang zur freien Marktwirtschaft zu erleichtern. In Rumänien gehört die EBRD zu den wichtigsten Investoren in den Bereichen Infrastruktur, Produktivitätssteigerung und Konsolidierung des Finanzsektors. Insgesamt 9 Mrd. Euro hat die Bank bislang in Rumänien investiert, drei Viertel der Anlagen kamen der Privatwirtschaft zugute.

  • November 5, 2021

    Covid — 8,268 cases of COVID-19 and 483 deaths were reported in the last 24 hours in Romania, 20 of the deaths being reported previous to the reference interval, shows data announced on Friday by the authorities. All beds in ICUs across the country are occupied. Most new cases were registered in Bucharest, where the incidence rate is dropping towards less than 12 cases per thousand inhabitants. The president of the Medical College, Daniel Coriu, said that over 92% of the infected people who died were not vaccinated against COVID. The vaccination rate has slowed in recent days, after a surge reported in the past two weeks. More than 82,000 people have been vaccinated against the novel coronavirus in the last 24 hours, of whom 43,000 with the first dose. The total number of fully vaccinated people stands at a little over 6,400,000.



    WHO — A World Health Organization delegation is in Bucharest where they visited several hospitals in Romania. Their conclusion is that the situation in hospitals across Romania is dramatic and immediate sanitary measures are needed to protect vulnerable people, above all. At the same time, vaccination against COVID-19 is the main solution to prevent new waves of infection. WHO representatives also met with members of the parliamentary health committees of the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies.



    Schools — Classes will start on November 8 for all students and preschoolers in Romania, both in the state and private education systems, the interim Education Minister, Sorin Cîmpeanu said today in a press conference. He explained that courses will be attended physically in the schools where the COVID vaccination rate among teachers is over 60%. One week ago, the minister had announced that more than half of the schools and kindergartens exceeded this level. Instead, several student associations across the country request the opening of schools with physical attendance only in those localities where the incidence of COVID cases is less than 6 per thousand inhabitants.



    Government – On Monday the National Political Bureau of National Liberal Party – PNL will make a decision regarding the negotiations with Save Romania Union – USR and the Social Democratic Party — PSD, the interim prime minister and Liberal leader Florin Cîţu announced on Friday. According to him, at the meeting with PSD, the option of a rotating prime minister position was suggested, but they did not talk about portfolios. He said that the talks with USR, a former governing partner, would continue. On Thursday, Florin Cîţu declared after the negotiations with the PSD leader, Marcel Ciolacu, that he found many things that could bring the two parties together. In his turn, the Social Democrat’s president said that the two parties are on a correct path, which could lead to the formation of a majority. The PNL and PSD negotiating teams are trying to find a governing formula, with a solid parliamentary majority, after two attempts to form a minority government failed. On Thursday evening, President Klaus Iohannis announced that he would call the parties for consultations only when an assumed parliamentary majority is formed. We recall that the minority government made up of the PNL – UDMR headed by Florin Citu was dismissed by a no confidence motion.



    EBRD — The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development — EBRD estimates that Romanias economy will grow by 7% this year, after forecasting a 6% growth in the summer, the main engine behind growth being domestic demand, an EBRD report shows. For 2022, EBRD experts say that the European money that will be channeled through the Recovery and Resilience Program is to bring about increased investments and improved exports, which, together with the expected fiscal consolidation and a slowdown in private consumption, could translate into an increase in the GDP by more than 4%. However, the EBRD also warns in todays report that these forecasts are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. The main risk, in the case of Romania, is the evolution of the pandemic, given that Romania has the second lowest vaccination rate in the EU. Another risk is posed by the high prices of natural gas and oil, because Romania, like other states, is pressured to offset high energy expenditures for low-income households. (LS)

  • Economic forecast for Romania

    Economic forecast for Romania

    The European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has substantially improved its estimate
    on Romania’s economic performance for this year, and in a recent report it expects
    a 7.2% growth rate as opposed to the 6% estimated in June.


    Further on, in 2022, the
    European funds earmarked under the Recovery and Resilience Plan are expected to
    lead to an increase in investments and improvement of exports, which jointly
    with the predicted fiscal consolidation and the slow-down in private
    consumption may translate into a GDP growth by over 4%.


    However, EBRD cautions
    that these forecasts are rather tentative. The main risk, as far as Romania is
    concerned, is the pandemic, given that the country has the second-lowest
    vaccination rate in the EU.


    Other risk factors are
    the high prices for natural gas and oil, because Romania, just like other
    countries, is forced to offset the high electricity expenses for low-income
    households. Other alarm signs are related to possible disruptions in supply
    chains, and the depreciation of the national currency.


    According to the
    international financial institution, 3 south-eastern EU member states-Greece,
    Romania and Bulgaria-are currently seeing a significant economic recovery,
    after a rather difficult year 2020. In Romania’s case, domestic demand is the
    main engine for growth.


    On the other hand, the high prices for raw
    materials may undermine the post-pandemic recovery of European economies, insofar
    as they strongly affect the trade balance of energy-importing countries like
    Romania.


    According to the report,
    the high energy prices may be a test of the public’s support for a greener
    future. While global support was strong and growing in the past few years, in
    some economies, including Egypt, Lithuania, Kazakhstan, Poland and Romania the
    support rate is lower than in the late 1990s.


    According to EBRD,
    economies in the region will see an average growth rate of 5.5% in 2021, which
    accounts for a 1.3% upgrade since the bank’s June forecasts. In 2022, as
    economies recover, the rate will slow down to an average 3.8%. These forecasts
    come with a high uncertainty element, given the risks entailed by the Covid-19
    pandemic, by a possible worsening of international circumstances and a more
    modest growth rate among the main trade partners.


    The EBRD was set up in
    1991 to invest in former communist states and assist them in the transition to a
    free market economy. After the fall of the communist regime in 1989, EBRD became
    a major investor in Romania, where it focuses on funding infrastructure, improving
    productivity and consolidating the financial sector. So far the institution has
    invested nearly 9 billion euros in the Romanian economy, three-quarters of
    which went into the private sector. (tr. A.M. Popescu)

  • Economic forecast for Romania

    Economic forecast for Romania

    The European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has substantially improved its estimate
    on Romania’s economic performance for this year, and in a recent report it expects
    a 7.2% growth rate as opposed to the 6% estimated in June.


    Further on, in 2022, the
    European funds earmarked under the Recovery and Resilience Plan are expected to
    lead to an increase in investments and improvement of exports, which jointly
    with the predicted fiscal consolidation and the slow-down in private
    consumption may translate into a GDP growth by over 4%.


    However, EBRD cautions
    that these forecasts are rather tentative. The main risk, as far as Romania is
    concerned, is the pandemic, given that the country has the second-lowest
    vaccination rate in the EU.


    Other risk factors are
    the high prices for natural gas and oil, because Romania, just like other
    countries, is forced to offset the high electricity expenses for low-income
    households. Other alarm signs are related to possible disruptions in supply
    chains, and the depreciation of the national currency.


    According to the
    international financial institution, 3 south-eastern EU member states-Greece,
    Romania and Bulgaria-are currently seeing a significant economic recovery,
    after a rather difficult year 2020. In Romania’s case, domestic demand is the
    main engine for growth.


    On the other hand, the high prices for raw
    materials may undermine the post-pandemic recovery of European economies, insofar
    as they strongly affect the trade balance of energy-importing countries like
    Romania.


    According to the report,
    the high energy prices may be a test of the public’s support for a greener
    future. While global support was strong and growing in the past few years, in
    some economies, including Egypt, Lithuania, Kazakhstan, Poland and Romania the
    support rate is lower than in the late 1990s.


    According to EBRD,
    economies in the region will see an average growth rate of 5.5% in 2021, which
    accounts for a 1.3% upgrade since the bank’s June forecasts. In 2022, as
    economies recover, the rate will slow down to an average 3.8%. These forecasts
    come with a high uncertainty element, given the risks entailed by the Covid-19
    pandemic, by a possible worsening of international circumstances and a more
    modest growth rate among the main trade partners.


    The EBRD was set up in
    1991 to invest in former communist states and assist them in the transition to a
    free market economy. After the fall of the communist regime in 1989, EBRD became
    a major investor in Romania, where it focuses on funding infrastructure, improving
    productivity and consolidating the financial sector. So far the institution has
    invested nearly 9 billion euros in the Romanian economy, three-quarters of
    which went into the private sector. (tr. A.M. Popescu)

  • Economic forecast for Romania

    Economic forecast for Romania

    The European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has substantially improved its estimate
    on Romania’s economic performance for this year, and in a recent report it expects
    a 7.2% growth rate as opposed to the 6% estimated in June.


    Further on, in 2022, the
    European funds earmarked under the Recovery and Resilience Plan are expected to
    lead to an increase in investments and improvement of exports, which jointly
    with the predicted fiscal consolidation and the slow-down in private
    consumption may translate into a GDP growth by over 4%.


    However, EBRD cautions
    that these forecasts are rather tentative. The main risk, as far as Romania is
    concerned, is the pandemic, given that the country has the second-lowest
    vaccination rate in the EU.


    Other risk factors are
    the high prices for natural gas and oil, because Romania, just like other
    countries, is forced to offset the high electricity expenses for low-income
    households. Other alarm signs are related to possible disruptions in supply
    chains, and the depreciation of the national currency.


    According to the
    international financial institution, 3 south-eastern EU member states-Greece,
    Romania and Bulgaria-are currently seeing a significant economic recovery,
    after a rather difficult year 2020. In Romania’s case, domestic demand is the
    main engine for growth.


    On the other hand, the high prices for raw
    materials may undermine the post-pandemic recovery of European economies, insofar
    as they strongly affect the trade balance of energy-importing countries like
    Romania.


    According to the report,
    the high energy prices may be a test of the public’s support for a greener
    future. While global support was strong and growing in the past few years, in
    some economies, including Egypt, Lithuania, Kazakhstan, Poland and Romania the
    support rate is lower than in the late 1990s.


    According to EBRD,
    economies in the region will see an average growth rate of 5.5% in 2021, which
    accounts for a 1.3% upgrade since the bank’s June forecasts. In 2022, as
    economies recover, the rate will slow down to an average 3.8%. These forecasts
    come with a high uncertainty element, given the risks entailed by the Covid-19
    pandemic, by a possible worsening of international circumstances and a more
    modest growth rate among the main trade partners.


    The EBRD was set up in
    1991 to invest in former communist states and assist them in the transition to a
    free market economy. After the fall of the communist regime in 1989, EBRD became
    a major investor in Romania, where it focuses on funding infrastructure, improving
    productivity and consolidating the financial sector. So far the institution has
    invested nearly 9 billion euros in the Romanian economy, three-quarters of
    which went into the private sector. (tr. A.M. Popescu)

  • September 26 – October 2 , 2020

    September 26 – October 2 , 2020

    Local elections in the time of pandemic


    46% of the Romanians with the right to vote went to the polls
    last Sunday to elect their local authorities. Although lower than at the previous
    such election, the turnout was good in the complicated context created by the
    pandemic, which imposed unprecedented health safety measures on election
    Sunday. The vote has already brought about changes and heralds a tough
    confrontation at the parliamentary elections due in December. For the first
    time, the governing Liberals won the political vote, practically doubling its
    number of county council presidents and winning the majority of town halls. Moreover,
    the National Liberal Party broke the monopoly of the Social Democrats in counties
    that had been loyal to them for 2 or 3 decades. However, the Social Democratic
    Party, with the largest number of members in parliament, is still the political
    party that holds most mayoralties and the first place with regard to the number
    of county council presidents. The great loss for the party is the one recorded
    in Bucharest, which it had totally controlled for four years. The independent
    Nicusor Dan, supported by the National Liberal Party and the Save Romania -
    PLUS Alliance will be the mayor of the capital, replacing Gabriela Firea.


    The candidates of the center-right alliance created ad-hoc in
    Bucharest also won in three of the 6 sectors of the capital. At the Municipal
    Council, the Social Democratic Party is on the first position, but the Save
    Romania – PLUS Alliance obtained scores that will allow them to decide together
    the administration of a city rich in resources, but poor in vision and
    projects. Through the second place obtained at the political vote on Bucharest
    and the winning of some important municipalities like Timişoara and Braşov, in
    which they dethroned liberal mayors, the Save Romania – PLUS Alliance confirms
    its status as an alternative political force. The victory of a German in
    Timişoara and a French woman in sector 1, the richest in Bucharest, is the proof
    that the Alliance comes with something new in Romanian politics. Unperturbed by
    the pandemic, the electoral process is overshadowed by scandals and cross-fire accusations
    of fraud between the Social Democratic Party and the Save Romania – PLUS Alliance, especially regarding the number
    of votes obtained in Bucharest and sector 1 in particular.



    Daily records of new coronavirus infections


    This week, Romania has for the first time exceeded the threshold
    of 2000 daily infections. Specialists had anticipated that this would be the
    case, especially after the opening of schools. The number of daily infections
    is increasing throughout Europe and there is talk of the imminence of a second
    wave of the pandemic. In Romania, more than 130,000 cases of infection have
    been reported, and the number of dead is approaching 5,000. Some 500 patients
    are constantly in intensive care, but only one third are intubated and need
    ventilation, said the Minister of Health, Nelu Tataru. At national level, the
    incidence of COVID-19 cases is close to one in one thousand inhabitants, but
    the differences are big from one area to another. That is why the
    reintroduction of restrictions or even quarantine must be established according
    to the local situation of the coronavirus epidemic, and not at the level of the
    entire county, said Prime Minister Ludovic Orban. He also called on the
    authorities responsible for daily inspections to ensure compliance with health
    protection measures. The Ministers of the Interior, Transport, Labor and Health
    are called upon to draw up a plan containing clear actions for the
    implementation of these measures



    The EC Report on the rule of law and Bucharest’s response


    The health crisis caused by the pandemic has consumed almost all
    the energy of the political actors in Bucharest. Thus, the commitment to put back
    on track the judiciary, severely affected by the controversial changes to the
    laws of justice and criminal and criminal procedure codes during the last
    left-wing government, seemed forgotten. In its latest report on the rule of law
    in Romania, the European Commission states that the laws of justice, the
    functioning of the National Audiovisual Council, access to public information
    and the excess of emergency ordinances are the main problems. The document
    emphasizes that in 2020, the Government reaffirmed its commitment to correct
    through judicial reforms the measures with negative impact adopted in the
    period 2017-2019, which led to the alleviation of tensions in the judiciary.

    According
    to the evaluation, the controversial measures with a negative impact on judicial
    independence continue to apply, such as the functioning of the Section for the
    Investigation of Crimes in the Judiciary, which deals exclusively with
    prosecuting crimes committed by judges and prosecutors. Further implementation
    of these measures increases uncertainty with regard to the functioning of the justice
    system, especially through the effects they have together, the European
    Commission warns. On the day the report was published in Brussels, in
    Bucharest, the Ministry of Justice launched a public debate on the proposals to
    amend the justice laws. They aim at strengthening the role of the Superior
    Council of Magistracy in organizing and conducting competitions and examinations
    through the National Institute of Magistracy and professionalizing the process
    of selecting magistrates by eliminating any means of entering the judiciary
    without competition. Also, the line ministry decided the elimination of the
    early retirement scheme for magistrates, the strengthening of the principle of prosecutor
    impendence in the judiciary and the dismantling of the Section for the
    Investigation of Crimes in the Judiciary.



    Less
    optimistic economic forecasts


    The European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development has revised downwards its forecasts regarding
    Romania’s economic evolution in 2020 and 2021, as a result of the crisis
    triggered by the pandemic. According to the latest forecasts, Romania’s economy
    would record a 5% drop this year, as to the 4% estimated in May. For 2021, EBRD
    expects a 3% expansion of Romania’s GDP, against a 4% growth forecast in
    spring. Therefore, after a robust growth of 4.1% in 2019, Romania is facing
    recession in 2020. According to the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,
    the key transmission channels are lower consumption and declining exports. (M. Ignatescu)